The agreement, which could slash Chinese hybrid car exports to Europe by up to 50%, has spooked traders already wary of a supply glut. After peaking near 210,000 yuan per ton in May, prices have faced consistent downward pressure from rising production levels. The contract price briefly dipped below 100,000 yuan today, reflecting profound uncertainty regarding future consumption.
While protectionist trade measures weigh on the automotive sector, the broader battery market remains cushioned by the energy transition. Lithium miners posted robust first-half profits, bolstered by the expansion of grid-scale battery storage. As nations seek alternatives to Middle Eastern oil and gas, utility-scale storage systems have become essential to manage the volatility of wind and solar power generation, providing a secondary pillar of demand that persists despite the current slump in transport-related lithium consumption.

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