The bank’s mid-year outlook highlights a shift in investment strategy, as central banks increasingly diversify away from U.S. Treasuries. Sameer Samana, Head of Global Equities and Real Assets Strategy, identified gold as a high-convexity asset, arguing that global policymakers are unlikely to curb the deficits and inflationary pressures that provide the metal’s primary support. While acknowledging the potential for short-term volatility, the firm maintains that the current market environment offers an attractive entry point for investors.
Chief Investment Officer Darrell Cronk emphasized that the bull market is underpinned by "geopolitics, geography and geology," pointing to resource competition and infrastructure demands related to artificial intelligence. According to the bank, the market continues to underestimate long-term Treasury yields, as inflation premiums and rising government debt remain entrenched. This environment limits the Federal Reserve’s ability to aggressively tighten policy, further bolstering the case for gold as a store of value. Beyond precious metals, the bank remains constructive on industrial materials, noting that global electrification and data center construction will likely sustain demand for copper and other strategic resources through 2027.

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